Climate change impact on extreme natural hazards

Speech title:

Climate change impact on extreme natural hazards

Presented by Nobuhito Mori, Disaster Prevention Research Institute of Kyoto University

Abstract:

Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause severe coastal flooding in the middle latitudes. While the IPCC Fifth Assessment Reports (AR5, 2013) have focused on mean sea-level rise, recent advances (e.g., IPCC Sixth Assessment Reports, AR6, 2021) have shown the importance of storm surges and wave changes in extreme water levels causing coastal flooding. Both TC intensity and track changes are linked to future changes in extreme storm surges and wave climates in middle latitudes. This brief review summarizes historical and future long-term changes in extreme water levels, the contribution of increased storm surges, and wave height by the monitoring data and climate projections. In addition, several examples of impact assessment of storm surges and extreme wave changes are presented.

Short Bio:

Professor Nobuhito Mori

Nobuhito Mori is a Professor from the Disaster Prevention Research Institute of Kyoto University. He is interested in air-sea interface physics, climate change, geophysical and environmental fluid mechanics, and nonlinear wave dynamics. As applications of these fundamental phenomena, the targets of my research are understanding mechanisms of extreme events such as extreme ocean waves, storm surges, and tsunamis.