Centre for Productivity and Performance


Professor Gilberto Montibeller DSc (UFSC/Univ. of Strathclyde), MSc(UFSC), BSc (UFSC)

Photo of Professor Gilberto Montibeller

Professor of Management Sciences

Decision analysis; risk analysis; strategic decision making; prioritisation of risks; emerging threats; health policy

Gilberto Montibeller is a Full Professor of Management Science at Loughborough University, and Head of its Management Science and Operations Group, one of the leading teams worldwide focused on Behavioural Operations Research. He has been on the faculties of the London School of Economics (LSE, UK), Kingston Business School (UK), and the Federal University of Santa Catarina (UFSC, Brazil) before joining Loughborough University in 2015.

He was awarded a BSc (Hons) in Electrical Engineering from UFSC and worked as a junior executive at British American Tobacco Brazil, before deciding for an academic career.  He then received an MSc in Engineering Economic Analysis (UFSC) and a DSc in Engineering Economic Analysis (UFSC/University of Strathclyde, UK), continuing his studies as a Pos-Doctoral Fellow in Management Science at the University of Strathclyde.

He is an expert on strategic decision and risk analysis.  As a decision scientist, Prof Montibeller has more than twenty years of experience in conducting decision analytic projects for private and public organisations, in Continental Europe, Britain, and South America. Client organisations include Defra, UK National Audit Office, World Health Organisation (WHO), Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Babcock International, Itaipu Binational (Brazil and Paraguay), and the Brazilian Centre for SMEs (SEBRAE), among others. Two of his main areas of applications are resource allocation against emerging threats, particularly health and terrorist ones, and multi-criteria health prioritisations.

Prof Montibeller has extensive experience with management education and training. He has been a regular speaker at LSE Enterprise executive education courses, and taught successful courses at the LSE Executive Summer School. He has led in-company training for a large number of organisations such as Alcoa Inc., Japan Tobacco Int., CMS Cameron McKenna, and Surrey County Council. He has also taught in MBA programmes, both at Warwick Business School and Kingston Business School. 

Prof Montibeller is area editor of the Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and is on the editorial boards of the Informs Decision Analysis and European Journal of Decision Processes journals. He has published widely in key journals in the field, such as Risk Analysis, the European Journal of Operational ResearchDecision Support SystemsTechnological Forecasting & Social Change, among others. One of his papers, on the evaluation of strategic options and scenario planning, was awarded the Wiley Prize in Applied Decision Analysis by the International Society on Multi-Criteria Decision Making.

He has held visiting scholar positions at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT, USA), the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA, Austria), and the University of Southern California (USA). He has been a visiting professor at CNRS Lamsade (Paris Dauphine University, France) and is a visiting professor at the University of São Paulo (Brazil).

His main research interests are on the links between behavioural decision research and decision analytic modelling and on the formal conceptualisation of decision aiding practices. In recent years he has been at the forefront of the analytics movement in Britain and Continental Europe, and developed conceptual frameworks for Policy Analytics and Behavioural Analytics.

  • Area editor of the Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
  • Member of the editorial board, Informs Decision Analysis journal
  • Member of the editorial board, European Journal of Decision Processes journal.
  • Past member of the executive committee, Informs Decision Analysis society
  • Past member of the executive committee, International Society on Multi-Criteria Decision Making
  • Special issue guest editor for the European Journal of Operational Research and the EURO Journal on Decision Processes
  • Reviewer for Management Science, Journal of Operations Management, Management Information Systems Quarterly, European Journal of Operational Research, among other top journals.
  • Reviewer for the US National Science Foundation (NSF), UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC), and South-Africa National Research (NRF) Foundation.

G. Montibeller & von Winterfeldt, D. (2015). Cognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis. Risk Analysis, Vol. 35, No.7, pgs. 1230-1251.[IF = 1.974; ABS = 4]

Jaspersen, J.G. & G. Montibeller (2015). Probability Elicitation Under Severe Time Pressure: A Rank-Based Method. Risk Analysis, Vol. 35, No.7, pgs. 1317-1335. [IF = 1.974; ABS = 4]

S.S. Bhashyam and G. Montibeller (2015) “In the Opponent’s Shoes: Increasing the Behavioral Validity of Attackers’ Judgments in Counterterrorism Models”. Risk Analysis (forthcoming). [IF = 1.974; ABS = 4].

A. Tsoukias, G. Montibeller, G. Lucertini, V. Belton (2013) “Invited paper: Policy analytics: an agenda for research and practice”. EURO Journal on Decision Processes (Inaugural Issue) 1 (1-2), 115-134.

C. Ram and G. Montibeller (2013) “Exploring the impact of evaluating strategic options in a scenario-based multi-criteria framework”. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 80(4), 657-672. [IF = 2.106; ABS = 3]