Professor Stewart Robinson discusses his research into simulation modelling within the healthcare sector
Simulation Practice Research Interest Group (SP-RIG)
Leader: Dr Antuela Tako, Senior Lecturer in Operations Research
The focus of our research is on the practice of simulation, looking at how people go about developing and using simulation models and investigating how the practice of simulation can be improved. As a result our interests lie in the methodology and methods employed in simulation studies. We use a range of simulation methods (discrete-event simulation, system dynamics and agent-based modelling) and apply them across many application domains (e.g., manufacturing, services, health, supply chain, utilities). Through our work we aspire to support stakeholder involvement in simulation studies and aim to establish our research in client-oriented modelling.
Through our simulation tools we work with organisations by running stakeholder-oriented workshops to help them understand and make better decisions. The most recent organisations we have worked with include the East Midlands Ambulance Service and Leicestershire County Council (the SIMTEGR8 project with Professor Stewart Robinson).
Current and recent research projects have encompassed the following themes:
- Facilitated modelling with simulation
- Learning and insight from discrete-event simulations
- What can we learn from wrong models?
- Police force demand modelling & staff allocation
- Modelling the impact of human decision-makers in supply chains
- Comparison of simulation methods using linguistic analysis
- Antuela Tako – RIG Leader, Senior Lecturer
- Duncan Robertson – Lecturer
- Stewart Robinson – Professor and Dean of the SBE
- Rahul Kumar - Lecturer
- Anastasia Gogi – Research Associate
- Fahim Ahmed – PhD Student
- Niniet Arvitrida – PhD Student
- Heather Callaghan – PhD Student
- Mohammed Ibrahim-Shire - PhD Student
- Naoum Tsiopsas - PhD Student
- Hanjing Zhang - PhD Student
Below is a brief summary of activities over the past two years, including publications, conferences, research funding, seminars and impact generation:
- Robinson, SL, Jahangirian, M, Taylor, S, Young, T (Accepted for publication) Key Performance Indicators for Successful Simulation Projects, Journal of the Operational Research Society.
- Monks, T, Robinson, S, Kotiadis, K (2016) Can involving clients in simulation studies help them solve their future problems? A transfer of learning experiment, EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 249(3), pp.919-930,
- Tako, AA and Kotiadis, K (2015) PartiSim: A multi-methodology framework to support facilitated simulation modelling in healthcare, European Journal of Operational Research, 244(2), pp.555-564. (OPEN ACCESS)
- Gogi, A, Tako, AA, Robinson, SL, (2015) An Experimental Investigation into the Role of Simulation Models in Generating Insights, European Journal of Operational Research.
- Monks, T., Robinson, S. and Kotiadis, K. (2015) Can involving clients in simulation studies help them solve their future problems? A transfer of learning experiment. European Journal of Operational Research.(OPEN ACCESS)
- Robinson, S. (2015). Modelling without Queues: Adapting Discrete-Event Simulation for Service Operations. Journal of Simulation, 9, pp. 195-205. doi:10.1057/jos.2014.21
- Tako, A.A. and Robinson, S. (2015). Is Simulation in Health Different? Journal of the Operational Research Society, 66 (4), pp. 602-614. doi:10.1057/jors.2014.25.
- Tako, AA, Kotiadis, K, Vasilakis, C, Miras, A, le Roux, CW (2014) Improving patient waiting times: a simulation study of an obesity care service, BMJ Quality and Safety, 23, pp.373-9381. (OPEN ACCESS)
- Monks, T., Robinson, S. and Kotiadis, K. (2014). Learning from Discrete-Event Simulation: Exploring the High Involvement Hypothesis. European Journal of Operational Research, 235, pp. 195–205.
- Robinson, S., Worthington, C., Burgess, N. and Radnor, Z.J. (2014). Facilitated Modelling with Discrete-Event Simulation: Reality or Myth? European Journal of Operational Research, forthcoming.
- Kotiadis, K, Tako, A.A., Vasilakis, C (2014) A Participative and Facilitative Conceptual Modelling Framework for Discrete Event Simulation Studies in Healthcare, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 65, pp.197-213.
- Tako, AA (2014) Exploring the model development process in discrete-event simulation: Insights from six expert modellers, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 66, 747–760.
- Collet, F., Robertson, DA, and Lup, D. (2014) ‘When Does Brokerage Matter? Citation Impact of Research Teams in an Emerging Academic Field’, Strategic Organization, 12(3): 157-179
- Robinson, S. (2014). Simulation: The Practice of Model Development and Use, 2nd ed. Palgrave, London.
- Tsioptsias, N, Tako, AA, Robinson, S (2016) Model validation and testing in simulation: a literature review. In Hardy, B, Qazi, A, Ravizza, S (ed) 5th Student Conference on Operational Research (SCOR 2016), Nottingham University.
- Zhang, H, Tako, AA, Jackson, L, Liu, J (2016) Simulation Combined Approach to Police Patrol Services Staffing. In Hardy, B, Qazi, A, Ravizza, S (ed) 5th Student Conference on Operational Research (SCOR 2016), Nottingham University.
- Kotiadis, K and Tako, AA (2016) A Facilitation Workshop For The Implementation Stage: A Case Study In Health Care. In Anagnostou, A, Hoad, K, Kunc, M (ed) Proceedings of the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2016 (SW16), Stratford, Worcestershire, pp.165-174.
- McHaney, R, Tako, AA, Robinson, S (2016) A Linguistic Examination Of Problem Solving Approaches In Simulation. In Anagnostou, A, Hoad, K, Kunc, M (ed) Proceedings of the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2016 (SW16), Stratford, Worcestershire, pp.113-123.
- Zhang, H, Jackson, L, Tako, AA, Liu, J (2016) A Simulation of a Police Patrol Service System With Multi-Grade Time-Varying Incident Arrivals. In Anagnostou, A, Hoad, K, Kunc, M (ed) Proceedings of the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2016 (SW16), https://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/SW16/SW16.aspx, Stratford, Worcestershire, pp.103-112.
- Arvitrida, N, Robinson, S, Tako, AA, Robertson, D (2016) An Agent-Based Model Of Supply Chain Collaboration: Investigating Manufacturer Loyalty. In Anagnostou, A, Hoad, K, Kunc, M (ed) Proceedings of the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2016 (SW16), Stratford, Worcestershire, pp.35-44.
- Arvitrida, N.I., Robinson, S. and Tako, A.A. (2015). How do Competition and Collaboration Affect Supply Chain Performance? An Agent Based Modeling Approach. Proceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference.
- Ahmed, F., Robinson, S. and Tako, A.A. (2014).Using the Structred Analysis and Design Technique (SADT) in Simulation Conceptual Modeling. Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference (A. Tolk, S. D. Diallo, I. O. Ryzhov, L. Yilmaz, S. Buckley, and J. A. Miller, eds.), IEEE, Piscataway, NJ, pp. 1038-1049.
- Gogi, A, Tako, AA, Robinson, S (2014) A preliminary study on the role of simulation models in generating insights. Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference (A. Tolk, S. D. Diallo, I. O. Ryzhov, L. Yilmaz, S. Buckley, and J. A. Miller, eds.), IEEE, Piscataway, NJ, pp. 3618-3629.
- McHaney, R, Tako, AA, Robinson, SL (2014) Model Building In System Dynamics And Discrete-Event Simulation: A Comparison Of Analysts’ Language. In Onggo, S, Heavey, C, Monks, T, Tjahjono, B, van der Zee, D-J (ed) Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2014 (SW14), Proceedings of the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2014 (SW14), Worcestershire, UK, pp.1-13.
- Gogi, A, Tako, AA, Robinson, S (2014) Generating Insights: The Effectiveness Of Dicrete-Event Simulation Models In Creative Problem Solving. In Onggo, BS, Heavey, C, Monks, T, Tjahjono, B, van der Zee, D-J (ed) Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2014 (SW14), Proceedings of the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2014 (SW14), Worcestershire, UK, pp.133-142.
- Ahmed, F, Robinson, S, Tako, AA (2014) Conceptual Modelling: Lessons From Computer Science. In Onggo, S, Heavey, C, Monks, T, Tjahjono, B, van der Zee, D-J (ed) Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2014 (SW14), Proceedings of the 7th Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop 2012 (SW12), Worcestershire, UK, pp.154-166.
- Stewart Robinson is immediate past president of the Operational Research Society, UK, 2014-2015.
- Stewart Robinson gave a keynote address at the Industrial Engineering and Service Science conference in Yogyakarta, Indonesia in September 2015. The topic of the lecture was Operational Research in the Age of Big Data. He also presented a guest lecture at two universities in Yogyakarta.
- Antuela Tako gave a keynote for the Simulation stream at the Young OR19 Conference, Aston Business School, Birmingham, September 2015.
- Stewart Robinson has contributed a chapter to a US Department of Defense handbook on simulation conceptual modelling.
- Hanjing Zhang gave a presentation at the Criminal Justice Special Interest Group of the Operational Research Society, UK, 2016.
- Stewart Robinson was invited to present papers at the Winter Simulation Conference 2013 (Washington DC) on conceptual modelling, and simulation and analytics education.
- Stewart Robinson was a member of the Board for the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop SW14, April 2014, 16
- Hanjing Zhang gave a presentation at the 27th EURO Conference, Glasgow 2015
- Hanjing Zhang gave a presentation at the Young OR 19 Conference, Aston Business School, Birmingham, September 2015.
- Niniet Arvitrida gave a presentation at the Young OR 19 Conference, Aston Business School, Birmingham, September 2015.
- Stewart Robinson has received funding (£100K) from the Enterprise Project Fund for the SIMTEGR8 project (with Zoe Radnor). The project is evaluating interventions to reduce emergency hospital admissions among older people and improve their experience. The project is using rapid modelling techniques and facilitated workshop sessions to identify ways of improving the interventions.
Collaborators: Leicestershire County Council, Healthwatch Leicestershire and SIMUL8 Corporation
- Stewart Robinson and Antuela Tako has received funding (£3K) from SIMUL8 Corporation for the PhD Project: “What and How can we Learn from Wrong Models?”
- Antuela Tako has received funding (£3K) from SIMUL8 Corporation for the PhD Project: “Generating insight from simulation models.”
- PhD students Simulation Workshop day (Winter 17/18)
- 4 May 2017: Dr Arthur Turrell from the Bank of England, will be giving a talk on: ‘An Agent-Based Model of Dynamics in Corporate Bond Trading’, kindly organised by Duncan
- 5 May 2017, 2-3.30pm : Christina Jane Philips from Bangor University, will be giving a seminar on the use of participative simulation in a complex pharmaceutical manufacturing environment using the PartiSim© framework and how the modelling outcomes were used in partnership with the senior management to set the strategic agenda for the factory.
- Roundtable meeting, led by Dr Antuela Tako, 25 Nov 2016
- Professor Juite Wang, National Chung Hsing University, Modeling and Analysis of Mobile Application Services: The Perspective of Taiwan's Mobile Network Operators, 19 October 2016
- Professor Sally Brailsford, University of Southampton Business School: Modelling human behaviour in healthcare systems: is it possible, and why should we do it?, 4 May 2016
- Roger McHaney, Kansas State University: Little Words in Big Data: How Linguistic Clues Help Analysts Read Between the Lines in Problem Statements, 14 April 2016
- Hanjing Zhang: A simulation of a police patrol service system with multi-grade, time-varying incident arrivals, 16 March 2016
- Niniet Indah Arvitrida: Competition and Collaboration in Supply Chains: An agent based modelling approach, 26 November 2015
- Dr Peer-Olaf Siebers, Computer Science, Nottingham University: Modelling and Simulation of Rail Passengers to Evaluate Methods to Reduce Dwell Times Joint meeting with East Midlands Simulation Special Interest Group, 19 November 2015
- Dr Simon Taylor, Brunel University: Big Data Analytics and Simulation: Should We Have our Head in the Clouds?, 6 March 2015
- 'Simulating Societies: A Computational Approach to Social Science' with Professor Nigel Gilbert, Centre for Research in Social Simulation, University of Surrey: 6 March 2014 (12.30 - 2.00)
- 3rd East Midlands Simulation Group meeting in May 2013, Loughborough University
- The Simulation Practice RIG are running a Simulation course at Loughborough University from the 10th-14th July. Registrations can be made through the NATCOR website here.
- Antuela Tako has received funding (18K) from Leicestershire County Council working on phase 2 of the SIMTEGR8 project (with Stewart Robinson). The project is evaluating four interventions which aim to reduce emergency hospital admissions of old and frail people. The project is using facilitated workshops to help the health and social care services in Leicestershire improve their services. For more information please visit the following link: www.simtegr8.org
- Stewart Robinson is Track Chair for the Introductory Tutorials for the 2017 Winter Simulation Conference (Washington DC).
- Antuela Tako is Programme Committee member for the Healthcare Applications track for the 2016 Winter Simulation Conference (California).
- Stewart Robinson is a member of the Board for the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop SW16, April 2016.
- Antuela Tako is a Programme Committee member for the Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop SW16, April 2016.
- Antuela Tako is Director of the NATCOR PhD Simulation Course, Loughborough University.
Papers in progress
- A qualitative analysis of model development in discrete-event simulation and system dynamics
- Model building in System Dynamics and Discrete-event Simulation: A Validation of Analyst Language Comparison
- Post-model coding facilitation in discrete event simulation: A case study in Healthcare
- Agent-based modelling of behavioral and inter-firm systems, connected to psychological and strategic simulation.
Scheduled SP-RIG events:
|24th November 2017||1PM-2.30PM||BE2.47||Dr Martin Kunc||Warwick Business School||Recent development in System Dynamics methodologies|
|21st February 2018||12.30PM-2PM||BE0.40||Dr Thomas Jun||Design School||Diagrams for systems thinking in healthcare incident analysis - Usability and Utility|
|22nd March 2018||2PM-3.30PM||TBA||Prof John Fowler||Arizona State University||TBA|
|17th April 2018||12-1.30PM||TBA||Prof David Lane||Henley Business School||Towards a Behavioural System Dynamics: Exploring its scope and delineating its promise|
|TBA||TBA||TBA||Dr Duncan Robertson||SBE||TBA|